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Gold, War, and Perpetual Prediction Markets: Arbelos Guest Blog
CommoditiesCryptoDefiMacroTrading

Gold, War, and Perpetual Prediction Markets: Arbelos Guest Blog

Onchain Real World Assets (RWAs) like gold, oil, or copper can serve as early indicators and prediction markets for traditional assets. The combination of both spot and perpetual contracts on RWAs opens up new strategies for predicting sentiment, event-based trading, and for executing cross-asset arbitrage strategies. This post was originally published on Arbelos's blog, and cross-posted here.

·8 min read
Testnet Trading Competition
DefiTradingCommoditiesBitcoinForex

Testnet Trading Competition

Ostium’s public testnet trading competition launches today! The competition runs from 12pm UTC Tuesday 5/28 through 8pm UTC Friday 6/7, with over $10k in prizes. 🎉

·4 min read
Macro Research Bites #6: Industrial Metals in the Electric Vehicles sector (Truflation Guest Post)
CommoditiesInflationMacro

Macro Research Bites #6: Industrial Metals in the Electric Vehicles sector (Truflation Guest Post)

This week, we bring on Stefan Rust, CEO of Truflation, as a guest author for our Macro Research Bites series. We dive into industrial metals like lithium, copper, cobalt, nickel and palladium – many of which will soon be tradable as perpetuals on Ostium – and explore their significance to the growing Electric Vehicles sector.

·6 min read
Announcing Testnet Beta
Announcements

Announcing Testnet Beta

The wait is over. Our testnet Beta opens up to our first batch of users Monday 3/18!

·4 min read
Ostium Partners with Stork Network
Announcements

Ostium Partners with Stork Network

Announcing our partnership with Stork Network to bring long-tail Real World Asset feeds onchain.

·3 min read
Macro Research Bites #5: the Hang Seng Index (HSI) & Chinese Real Estate
MacroInflationTrading

Macro Research Bites #5: the Hang Seng Index (HSI) & Chinese Real Estate

China's equity and real estate market is in crisis. Evergrande, previously the most valuable real estate company in the world, is facing bankruptcy, and the Hang Seng Index is down over 50% since 2018. We explore parallels between China's downturn and the implosion of the Japanese asset bubble in 1989, and offer a hypothesis for what's next.

·10 min read
Macro Research Bites #4: Arguments Against Persistent Inflation
Macro

Macro Research Bites #4: Arguments Against Persistent Inflation

While inflation was all everyone could talk about in 2022 and 2023, that narrative has now begun to subside. But should we really be taking inflation's declining threat for granted? In a series of two posts, we break down the main drivers of inflation and provide competing quantitative evidence in favor of and against the claim that inflation will persist. First: arguments against persistent inflation.

·6 min read
The Imbalance Score: A Novel Metric for RWA-Focused Perpetual DEXes
DefiMechanism Design

The Imbalance Score: A Novel Metric for RWA-Focused Perpetual DEXes

This research article investigates the role of Real World Assets (RWAs) in enhancing risk management within multi-asset, pool-based perpetual Automated Market Makers (AMMs). Central to this study is our development of the ‘Imbalance Score’, a novel metric for quantifying counterparty risk.

·20 min read
Macro Research Bites #3: Where Are We in the Bitcoin Cycle?
DefiTradingBitcoin

Macro Research Bites #3: Where Are We in the Bitcoin Cycle?

With BTC up nearly 25% MoM, now seems like an appropriate time to take a step back and try to quantitatively evaluate where we’re at in the cycle — before it gets too far along...

·6 min read
Macro Research Bites #2: Gold and Inflation
CommoditiesTrading

Macro Research Bites #2: Gold and Inflation

With rising inflation concerns, many suggest buying gold as a hedge, with the asset’s performance in the inflationary 1970s often serving as the primary supporting evidence. This thesis, however, merits a closer look...

·6 min read
Macro Research Bites #1: Gold vs. Real Yields
CommoditiesTrading

Macro Research Bites #1: Gold vs. Real Yields

Gold has long been negatively correlated with real interest rates, with a correlation as high as -0.82. The traditional explanation for this phenomenon is that when real rates are positive, the opportunity cost to hold gold is high because it doesn’t pay any dividends or interest. Recent data, however, shows a break from this pattern...

·5 min read
Ostium Labs raises $3.5M co-led by General Catalyst and LocalGlobe
DefiAnnouncements

Ostium Labs raises $3.5M co-led by General Catalyst and LocalGlobe

We’re thrilled to announce that Ostium Labs has raised $3.5M from General Catalyst and LocalGlobe, with participation from Susquehanna International Group (SIG), DeFi Alliance, Balaji Srinivasan, Shiliang Tang (LedgerPrime), and nearly 20 additional founders, investors, and advisors.

·7 min read
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